
Factors that argue for a decent rally from here:
1. SPY daily and weekly charts are oversold and giving buy signals.
2. Successful test of $83.58 Oct. 10 low.
3. Off the charts VIX readings.
Factors that argue for another test of Oct. 10 low:
1. Parabolic moves tend to act like gaps, i.e. they get filled...today's move was also about 50% short covering (myself included I might add).
2. 99.10 is still major overhead resistance.
3. Still relatively low overall volume.
Some upward testing seems like a sure thing at this juncture. The question is will it be an explosive rally or merely a another consolidation before the next plunge comes along?
I don't know the answers, but I'll be watching again next week.
Meanwhile, I have a plane to catch!
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