Sunday, October 19, 2008

The confidence game

Very good article in the WSJ here.

Despite the weakness into Friday's close (which took me by surprise, btw...I was expecting more "uummph" by 4 pm EST) I still believe the nearer term probabilities favor a rally.

But another dark possibility is also out there. If this fragile rally breaks, I can easily visualize another horrifying leg to the downside and quickly; I'm talking Dow 7000 in a very short period of time. For the sake of all my permabull family members and friends I hope that doesn't happen, but I must emphasize that

This is the weakest action I have ever seen in my life!

So while yes, I plan for a rally, but if this sucker breaks- take cover.


Animations - explode-02

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